Claude S&P
conviction 4/5· 6-18 months· last reviewed 2026-05-06
Allstate cheap on fwd P/E 8.4 vs sector 11.7, price score 5/5, beta 0.21 — defensive ballast. D+W both long_strong, low-volatility uptrend.
Kill conditions
- Daily flips to short_strong
- Weekly posture turns short
- Catastrophe loss event materially impairs combined ratio